SIP, FIRE and the 4% rule: six questions, worked out
These are the questions people ask most about our free calculators. Each answer uses the same formulas as the calculators themselves, so you can put in your own numbers and check it.
In this post
- Which calculator should I start with?
- What will ₹10,000 a month be worth in 20 years?
- How do I work out my FIRE number?
- Is the 4% withdrawal rule safe in India?
- Are the calculators free, and do they include tax?
Which calculator should I start with?
It depends on where you are. Each calculator answers one question, so start with the one that matches yours.
| Where you are | Start with | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|
| Still investing every month | SIP calculator | What your SIP grows to, after tax and inflation |
| Planning to retire early | FIRE number calculator | The corpus to aim for, big costs included |
| Retired, or close to it | Withdrawal rate simulator | How long your corpus lasts at 4%, 5% or 6% |
What will ₹10,000 a month be worth in 20 years?
At 12% a year, ₹10,000 a month for 20 years grows to about ₹99.9 lakh. That is where most calculators stop. Two things come off it before it is money you can spend.
| Step | Amount |
|---|---|
| You invest (240 × ₹10,000) | ₹24.0 lakh |
| Value at 12% a year | ₹99.9 lakh |
| LTCG tax, 12.5% above ₹1.25 lakh | −₹9.3 lakh |
| After tax | ₹90.6 lakh |
| In today’s rupees (6% inflation) | ₹28.2 lakh |
Tax takes about a tenth of the final value. Inflation takes far more: at 6% a year, prices more than triple in 20 years, so ₹90.6 lakh then buys roughly what ₹28 lakh buys today. That last line is the one to plan with.
The SIP calculator runs the same sums on your own amount, return, years and inflation.
How do I work out my FIRE number?
Your FIRE number is the corpus that can pay your expenses for the rest of your life. It takes three steps.
- Inflate today’s expenses to the year you retire. ₹80,000 a month is ₹9.6 lakh a year today. At 6% inflation, in 15 years that is about ₹23 lakh a year.
- Divide by your withdrawal rate. At 4% that is 25 times your yearly expenses: ₹23 lakh × 25 is about ₹5.75 crore.
- Add the big costs that come on top, such as a house or children’s education, at what they will cost when you pay for them, not what they cost today.
The withdrawal rate moves the answer more than anything else. The same ₹23 lakh a year needs:
| Withdrawal rate | Multiple of yearly expenses | Core FIRE number |
|---|---|---|
| 4% | 25× | ₹5.75 crore |
| 3.5% | 28.6× | ₹6.57 crore |
| 3% | 33.3× | ₹7.67 crore |
The FIRE number calculator does all three steps, with a house and children’s costs at future prices.
Is the 4% withdrawal rule safe in India?
It depends on the gap between what your money earns and inflation, not on the return alone. Take a ₹5 crore corpus earning 9% a year, with each year’s withdrawal rising 6% to keep your lifestyle the same, over 30 years:
| Rate | First year | After 30 years |
|---|---|---|
| 3% | ₹15 lakh | ₹25.3 crore left |
| 3.5% | ₹17.5 lakh | ₹18.5 crore left |
| 4% | ₹20 lakh | ₹11.7 crore left |
| 5% | ₹25 lakh | Runs out in year 29 |
| 6% | ₹30 lakh | Runs out in year 22 |
One percentage point is the difference between a corpus that keeps growing and one that runs out. The rule came from US data, where inflation was lower than India’s, and it was built for 30-year retirements. Retire at 40 and the money may need to last 50 years. That is why many Indian early retirees plan on 3% to 3.5%.
Try your own corpus in the withdrawal rate simulator, or read where the 4% rule came from.
Are the calculators free, and do they include tax?
Are they really free?
Yes. Every calculator runs in your browser, needs no sign-up, and stores nothing you type.
Do they include tax?
The SIP calculator takes off long-term capital-gains tax on equity mutual funds: 12.5% on gains above the ₹1.25 lakh yearly exemption. The FIRE and withdrawal tools work in pre-tax rupees, so keep a margin for the tax on what you withdraw.
Nothing here is investment advice. See the disclaimer.
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